Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.001047 0.001191 0.001334 0.001489 0.001650 0.001811 0.001986
2025-12-28 0.000806 0.001012 0.001224 0.001458 0.001708 0.001964 0.002245
2026-01-04 0.000641 0.000891 0.001159 0.001462 0.001791 0.002133 0.002514
2026-01-11 0.000494 0.000775 0.001087 0.001449 0.001847 0.002268 0.002741
2026-01-18 0.000375 0.000677 0.001025 0.001438 0.001901 0.002395 0.002956
2026-01-25 0.000248 0.000553 0.000923 0.001374 0.001890 0.002447 0.003084
2026-02-01 0.000165 0.000469 0.000860 0.001349 0.001917 0.002536 0.003250
2026-02-08 0.000109 0.000412 0.000824 0.001352 0.001971 0.002653 0.003444
2026-02-15 0.000068 0.000368 0.000801 0.001365 0.002037 0.002780 0.003645
2026-02-22 0.000040 0.000336 0.000789 0.001391 0.002113 0.002917 0.003857
2026-03-01 0.000013 0.000287 0.000750 0.001380 0.002145 0.003003 0.004010
2026-03-08 NaN 0.000236 0.000701 0.001355 0.002158 0.003065 0.004133
2026-03-15 NaN 0.000200 0.000684 0.001384 0.002254 0.003242 0.004411
2026-03-22 NaN 0.000141 0.000624 0.001355 0.002280 0.003341 0.004603
2026-03-29 NaN 0.000103 0.000590 0.001359 0.002346 0.003485 0.004847
2026-04-05 NaN 0.000066 0.000546 0.001346 0.002389 0.003603 0.005059
2026-04-12 NaN 0.000036 0.000507 0.001336 0.002435 0.003721 0.005272
2026-04-19 NaN 0.000006 0.000435 0.001275 0.002412 0.003759 0.005391
2026-04-26 NaN NaN 0.000391 0.001250 0.002435 0.003847 0.005566
2026-05-03 NaN NaN 0.000367 0.001253 0.002490 0.003973 0.005784
2026-05-10 NaN NaN 0.000351 0.001266 0.002559 0.004114 0.006017
2026-05-17 NaN NaN 0.000342 0.001291 0.002640 0.004270 0.006266
2026-05-24 NaN NaN 0.000314 0.001281 0.002676 0.004369 0.006449